• probability distribution function (PDF) - is a function used to describe the probability distribution of a random variable
    • probability mass function (PMF) - is a probability distribution function that describes a DISCRETE random variable
    • probability density function (PDF) - is a probability distribution function that describes a CONTINUOUS random variable
  • cumulative distribution function (CDF) - is the integral of the probability distribution function
  • reverse cumulative distribution function (RCDF) or survivor distribution function (SDF) -
  • hazard distribution function (HDF) -
  • cumulative hazard distribution function (CHDF) -
  • quantile function or inverse cumulative distribution function (ICDF) -
  • moment generating function (MGF) of 𝑋 -

Probability Function Types

Discrete Random Variable

Continuous Random Variable

Probability Distribution Function

(𝑃𝐷𝐹)

Probability Mass Function

Probability Density Function

𝑃𝐷𝐹(𝑥) = 𝑃(𝑋=𝑥)

expresses the probability that the system fails AT time 𝑡

  • a Probability Distribution Function of a DISCRETE random variable is a Probability MASS Function
  • Probability Mass Function 𝑃𝐷𝐹(𝑥) has the following properties:
    • 0 ≤ 𝑃𝐷𝐹(𝑥) ≤ 1 for all 𝑥∊𝑋
    • 𝛴𝑥∊𝑋𝑃𝐷𝐹(𝑥) = 1
  • a Probability Distribution Function of a CONTINUOUS random variable is a Probability DENSITY Function
  • Probability Density Function 𝑃𝐷𝐹(𝑥) has the following properties:
    • 𝑃𝐷𝐹(𝑥) ≥ 0, for 𝑠𝑡𝑎𝑟𝑡 < 𝑥 < 𝑒𝑛𝑑
    • 𝑠𝑡𝑎𝑟𝑡𝑒𝑛𝑑𝑃𝐷𝐹(𝑥)𝑑𝑥 = 1

Cumulative Distribution Function (𝐶𝐷𝐹)

Failure Function

𝐶𝐷𝐹(𝑥) = 𝑃(𝑋≤𝑥)

expresses the probability that the system fails before time 𝑡

𝐶𝐷𝐹(𝑎) = 𝛴𝑠𝑡𝑎𝑟𝑡≤𝑥≤𝑎𝑃𝐷𝐹(𝑥)

𝐶𝐷𝐹(𝑎) = 𝑠𝑡𝑎𝑟𝑡𝑎𝑃𝐷𝐹(𝑥)𝑑𝑥

Reverse Cumulative Distribution Function (𝑅𝐶𝐷𝐹)

Survivor Distribution Function (𝑆𝐷𝐹)

𝑅𝐶𝐷𝐹(𝑥) = 𝑃(𝑋≥𝑥)

expresses the probability that the system is still operational at time 𝑡

𝑅𝐶𝐷𝐹(𝑎) = 𝛴𝑎≤𝑥≤𝑒𝑛𝑑𝑃𝐷𝐹(𝑥)

𝑅𝐶𝐷𝐹(𝑎) = 𝑎𝑒𝑛𝑑𝑃𝐷𝐹(𝑥)𝑑𝑥

Hazard Probability Function (𝐻𝑃𝐹)

𝐻𝑃𝐹(𝑥) = 𝑃𝐷𝐹(𝑥) / 𝑅𝐶𝐷𝐹(𝑥)

expresses risk that the system fails AT time 𝑡
i.e. given that the system is still operational at time 𝑡, what is the probability it fails at time 𝑡

∆𝑡 Dependent Hazard Function

𝐻𝑃𝐹(𝑡, ∆𝑡) = 𝑃(𝑡 ≤ 𝑇 ≤ 𝑡 + ∆𝑡 | 𝑇 ≥ 𝑡)

∆𝑡 Independent Hazard Function

𝐻𝑃𝐹(t) = 𝑙𝑖𝑚∆𝑡→0 [ 𝑃(𝑡 ≤ 𝑇 ≤ 𝑡 + ∆𝑡 | 𝑇 ≥ 𝑡) / ∆𝑡 ]

𝐻𝑃𝐹(𝑡) = 𝑃𝐷𝐹(𝑡) / ∫𝑡𝑃𝐷𝐹(𝑡)𝑑𝑡

Cumulative Hazard Distribution Function (𝐶𝐻𝐷𝐹)

𝐶𝐻𝐷𝐹(𝑥) = - 𝑙𝑛(𝑅𝐶𝐷𝐹(𝑥))

Inverse Cumulative Distribution Function (𝐼𝐶𝐷𝐹)

Quantile Function

𝐼𝐶𝐷𝐹(𝑥) = 𝐶𝐷𝐹-1(𝑥)

Moment Generating Function (𝑀𝐺𝐹)

𝑀𝐺𝐹(𝑡) = 𝐄[𝑒𝑡𝑋]

Probability Functions Conversions (Continuous)

Cumulative Distribution Function

𝐹(𝑥)

Probability Density Function

𝑓(𝑥)

Survivor Function

𝑆(𝑥)

Hazard Function

𝘩(𝑥)

Cumulative Distribution Function

𝐹(𝑥)

-∞𝑥𝑓(𝑥)𝑑𝑥

1 - 𝑆(𝑥)

1 - 𝑒[ -∫-∞𝑥𝘩(𝑥)𝑑𝑥 ]

Probability Density Function

𝑓(𝑥)

𝐹’(𝑥)

-𝑆’(𝑥)

𝘩(𝑥) 𝑒[ -∫-∞𝑥𝘩(𝑥)𝑑𝑥 ]

Survivor Function

𝑆(𝑥)

1 - 𝐹(𝑥)

𝑥𝑓(𝑥)𝑑𝑥

e [ -∫-∞𝑥𝘩(𝑥)𝑑𝑥 ]

Hazard Function

𝘩(𝑥)

𝐹’(𝑥) / [1 - 𝐹(𝑥)]

𝑓(𝑥) / ∫𝑥𝑓(𝑥)𝑑𝑥

-𝑆’(𝑥) / 𝑆(𝑥)